1972 MIT Model That Predicted Armageddon in 2040 Deemed “Very Accurate” by New KPMG Study

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1972 MIT model that predicted armageddon in 2040 deemed 'very accurate' in new study

A 1972 MIT model that predicted Armageddon in 2040 has been reviewed by a team of scientists and deemed “very accurate” and highly likely to occur.

Gaya Herrington, Sustainability and Dynamic System Analysis Lead at KPMG, undertook the task of proving or disproving MIT’s claims and used a world simulation model that analyzed how our world has progressed since 1972.

According to Herrington, the economic decline within the next decade will result in a total societal collapse by 2040.

Dailymail.co.uk reports: A total societal collapse would mean an abrupt decline in quality of life, food production, industrial output and ultimately the human population. 

MIT made their prediction using a computer program called World1 and looked back as far as 1900 and all the way up to 2060.

The data was produced on long sheets of white paper and appeared as graph lines.

In a video of the 1972 findings, MIT’s Jerry Foster, who developed World1, revealed his innovation to the world and used MIT’s work to do so.

Foster showed how population has increased from the 1900 to the turn of the century.  

The line starts out low and then keeps climbing until a few years after 2000 where it then petered out.

Another examples he used was quality of life, which increased rapidly up until the 1940s and then diminished until 2020 when it sees another uptick.

However, the model also identified 2020 as a tipping point for civilization.

‘At around 2020, the condition of the planet becomes highly critical. If we do nothing about it, the quality of life goes down to zero,’ Foster said in a 1973 ABC segment.

‘Pollution becomes so seriously it will start to kill people, which in turn will cause the population to diminish, lower than it was in the 1900. At this stage, around 2040 to 2050, civilized life as we know it on this planet will cease to exist.’

Herrington used the same model, but the third version of the simulation called World3, and looked at 10 key variables: population, fertility rates, mortality rates, industrial output, food production, services, non-renewable resources, persistent pollution, human welfare, and ecological footprint, as first reported on by VICE.

She found that the latest data most closely aligns with two particular scenarios, ‘BAU2’ (business-as-usual) and ‘CT’ (comprehensive technology).

‘BAU2 and CT scenarios show a halt in growth within a decade or so from now,’ concludes the study published in in the Yale Journal of Industrial Ecology

‘Both scenarios thus indicate that continuing business as usual, that is, pursuing continuous growth, is not possible. 

‘Even when paired with unprecedented technological development and adoption, business as usual as modelled by LtG [Limits of Growth, the MIT book based on its study] would inevitably lead to declines in industrial capital, agricultural output, and welfare levels within this century.’ 

Although the 1972 simulation suggests society doomed, Herrington’s study adds that technological progress and investing more in public services could shift us away from collapsing. 

However, humanity will have to put in a strong effort in the next decade to change the bleak future.  

‘At this point therefore, the data most aligns with the CT and BAU2 scenarios which indicate a slowdown and eventual halt in growth within the next decade or so, but World3 leaves open whether the subsequent decline will constitute a collapse,’ the study concludes. 

‘Although the ‘stabilized world’ scenario ‘tracks least closely, a deliberate trajectory change brought about by society turning toward another goal than growth is still possible. The LtG work implies that this window of opportunity is closing fast.’


  1. With Beijing Biden and the Demorats in control the USA won’t survive another few years.

  2. its all constructed A murderous ruthless lot behind it all .Its actually all predicted in Miltons Paradise Lost really and even Frankenstein in a way.
    Anyway the point is they’re setting it all up intentionally The economic “chaos” and the weather events All fraudulently constructed using secrecy to hide their guilt. , But just as one example of people waking up to them one of the you tubes videso on tv today showing the ” floods” of armaggedon in europe very cleverly revealed how it was the water rushing out of the dam up the hill and added to by water mains pumping out geysers of water and then switching the camera around to show all the dry landscape all around proving it wasn’t rain at all It was manipulated by some rain but set up using weather technology. Another clearly showed the same thing being done in Asia showing clearly it was the dam walls being somehow busted and causing” rivers of rain” , but again switching the camera around to show how dry everywhere really was .

  3. I’m a great believer in the principle that Neo Liberalism is a self-correcting problem. The trick is not to be near them when the “correction” goes off. As for predicting the future “end” (or tomorrow’s weather) based on past data, I gotta go with Charlotte Werndl.

    ‘What Are the New Implications of Chaos for Unpredictability?’ by Charlotte Werndl; The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science Volume 60, Number 1; The University of Chicago Press Journals; March 2009.

    “For predicting any event (even deterministic events), all sufficiently past events are approximately probabilistically irrelevant.”

    But if they don’t teach deterministic chaos theory at MIT, maybe Herrington is correct. So don’t stand too close to a Neo Liberal.

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